<\/div>\n
„Rusk\u00e9 konven\u010dn\u00e9 sily boli v\u00e1\u017ene pon\u00ed\u017een\u00e9 a ch\u00fdbala im bojov\u00e1 sila, ktor\u00fa mali, ke\u010f sa Rusko pok\u00fasilo (a zlyhalo) v plnom rozsahu pri pokuse zmocni\u0165 sa Kyjeva vo febru\u00e1ri 2022. Rusk\u00e9 jednotky si neudr\u017eali svoje zisky na celej Ukrajine a stratili viac ako 70 tis\u00edc ton. \u0161tvorcov\u00fdch kilometrov okupovan\u00e9ho \u00fazemia po odchode z Kyjeva,“ p\u00ed\u0161u analytici<\/p>\n
ISW nazna\u010duje, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 sily v Bachmute v s\u00fa\u010dasnosti postupuj\u00fa nie viac ako 100-200 metrov denne po s\u00fastreden\u00ed ve\u013ek\u00e9ho \u00fasilia.<\/p>\n
„Rusko nezaviedlo vzdu\u0161n\u00fa prevahu, nehovoriac o vzdu\u0161nej nadvl\u00e1de v Ukrajine, a v podstate vy\u010derpalo svoj arzen\u00e1l presnej mun\u00edcie. Ukrajinsk\u00e9 jednotky zase pripravili v\u00fdznamn\u00fa obranu na severe Ukrajiny a teraz s\u00fa lep\u0161ie pripraven\u00e9 na obranu ako vo febru\u00e1ri 2022,“ dodal ISW.<\/p>\n
Pod\u013ea analytikov oblas\u0165 v bl\u00edzkosti bielorusko-ukrajinskej hranice nie je priazniv\u00e1 pre man\u00e9vrovate\u013en\u00fa vojnu a mo\u017en\u00e9 trasy inv\u00e1zie z Bieloruska do Kyjeva prech\u00e1dzaj\u00fa cez obrann\u00e9 kontroln\u00e9 body v \u010dernoby\u013eskej uzavretej z\u00f3ne, kde maj\u00fa ukrajinsk\u00e9 jednotky teraz sk\u00fasenosti s ochranou.<\/p>\n
„Ukrajinsk\u00e9 jednotky zase pripravili v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 obrann\u00e9 opevnenia na severnej Ukrajine a teraz s\u00fa lep\u0161ie pripraven\u00e9 na obranu ako vo febru\u00e1ri 2022,“ uv\u00e1dza sa v spr\u00e1ve.<\/p>\n
ISW tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee Rusko m\u00f4\u017ee v zime 2023 vytv\u00e1ra\u0165 podmienky pre nov\u00fa ofenz\u00edvu proti Ukrajine \u2013 pravdepodobne Kyjevu, pri\u010dom zd\u00f4raz\u0148uje, \u017ee je „mimoriadne nepravdepodobn\u00e9“, \u017ee tak\u00fdto \u00fatok bude \u00faspe\u0161n\u00fd, a rusk\u00fd \u00fatok z Bieloruska nie je v s\u00fa\u010dasnosti nevyhnutn\u00fd.<\/p>\n
Analytici tie\u017e opakuj\u00fa, \u017ee ciele rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Vladim\u00edra Putina v Ukrajine sa nezmenili. Vyu\u017e\u00edva dve simult\u00e1nne vojensk\u00e9 oper\u00e1cie (\u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 akcie v Doneckej oblasti a mas\u00edvne \u00fatoky na civiln\u00fa a kritick\u00fa infra\u0161trukt\u00faru Ukrajiny) na dosiahnutie svojho cie\u013ea doby\u0165 Ukrajinu a z\u00edska\u0165 v\u00fdznamn\u00e9 \u00fastupky.<\/p>\n
Pripome\u0148me, \u017ee v rozhovore pre The Economist, ktor\u00fd bol zverejnen\u00fd de\u0148 predt\u00fdm, vrchn\u00fd velite\u013e ozbrojen\u00fdch s\u00edl Ukrajiny Valerij Zalu\u017en\u00fd uviedol, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 jednotky by sa mohli op\u00e4\u0165 pok\u00fasi\u0165 za\u00fato\u010di\u0165 na Kyjev.<\/p>\n
Gener\u00e1lny \u0161t\u00e1b ozbrojen\u00fdch s\u00edl Ukrajiny z\u00e1rove\u0148 uv\u00e1dza, \u017ee budovanie ruskej vojenskej pr\u00edtomnosti na \u00fazem\u00ed Bieloruska, ktor\u00e9 sa za\u010dalo v polovici okt\u00f3bra, pokra\u010duje, ale gener\u00e1lny \u0161t\u00e1b teraz hodnot\u00ed pravdepodobnos\u0165 ofenz\u00edvnej oper\u00e1cie z \u00fazemia tejto krajiny ako n\u00edzku.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Analytici z Americk\u00e9ho in\u0161tit\u00fatu pre \u0161t\u00fadium vojny (ISW) ozna\u010duj\u00fa za „mimoriadne nepravdepodobn\u00e9“, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 sily bud\u00fa schopn\u00e9 obsadi\u0165 Kyjev, aj ke\u010f znova za\u00fato\u010dia z Bieloruska. Takto analytici reagovali na vyhl\u00e1senie vrchn\u00e9ho velite\u013ea ozbrojen\u00fdch s\u00edl Ukrajiny Valeryho Zalu\u017en\u00e9ho, \u017ee existuje mo\u017enos\u0165 nov\u00e9ho pokusu Rusov zmocni\u0165 sa Kyjeva. Ako sa uv\u00e1dza v novom Spr\u00e1va ISWje ve\u013emi nepravdepodobn\u00e9, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9736,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[131,83,6,1267],"class_list":["post-9735","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vojna-v-ukrajine","tag-bielorusko","tag-ruska-agresia","tag-rusko-ukrajinska-vojna","tag-valeriy-zaluzhnyi"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9735","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9735"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9735\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9736"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9735"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9735"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9735"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}