{"id":9573,"date":"2022-12-12T08:03:01","date_gmt":"2022-12-12T07:03:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/razvedka.info\/sk\/2022-12-invazia-bieloruskej-armady-na-ukrajinu-je-nepravdepodobna-isw\/"},"modified":"2022-12-12T08:03:01","modified_gmt":"2022-12-12T07:03:01","slug":"invazia-bieloruskej-armady-na-ukrajinu-je-nepravdepodobna-isw","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/2022-12-invazia-bieloruskej-armady-na-ukrajinu-je-nepravdepodobna-isw\/","title":{"rendered":"Inv\u00e1zia bieloruskej arm\u00e1dy na Ukrajinu je nepravdepodobn\u00e1 \u2013 ISW"},"content":{"rendered":"

Je nepravdepodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da napadla Ukrajinu. Toto je uveden\u00e9 v Spr\u00e1va<\/a> analytici z In\u0161tit\u00fatu pre \u0161t\u00fadium vojny (ISW), publikovan\u00ed v noci z 12. decembra.\n<\/p>\n

Analytici sa domnievaj\u00fa, \u017ee tlak Ruska na Bielorusko, aby podporilo vojnu v Ukrajine, je s\u00fa\u010das\u0165ou dlhodob\u00e9ho \u00fasilia o upevnenie \u010fal\u0161ej kontroly nad Bieloruskom. Rusko predov\u0161etk\u00fdm zv\u00fd\u0161ilo tlak na bielorusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Alexandra Luka\u0161enka, aby formalizoval integr\u00e1ciu Bieloruska do zv\u00e4zov\u00e9ho \u0161t\u00e1tu po bielorusk\u00fdch protestoch v rokoch 2020 a 2021.\n<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

„Rusko sa sna\u017eilo zriadi\u0165 st\u00e1lu vojensk\u00fa z\u00e1klad\u0148u v Bielorusku a vytvori\u0165 priamu kontrolu nad bieloruskou arm\u00e1dou a pravidelne sa sna\u017eilo vyu\u017ei\u0165 svoj vplyv na bielorusk\u00fa bezpe\u010dnos\u0165 a vojensk\u00e9 z\u00e1le\u017eitosti na vyv\u00edjanie tlaku na Bielorusko, aby podporilo svoju inv\u00e1ziu na Ukrajinu,“<\/em> V spr\u00e1ve sa uv\u00e1dza.\n<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea analytikov ISW sa rusk\u00fd minister obrany Sergej \u0160ojgu 3. decembra stretol s Alexandrom Luka\u0161enkom, aby \u010falej posilnil bilater\u00e1lne bezpe\u010dnostn\u00e9 v\u00e4zby. Pod\u013ea analytikov je v\u0161ak nepravdepodobn\u00e9, \u017ee Bielorusko napadne Ukrajinu kv\u00f4li vn\u00fatornej dynamike v krajine.\n<\/p>\n

ISW predt\u00fdm informovala, \u017ee Alexander Luka\u0161enko nem\u00e1 v \u00famysle vst\u00fapi\u0165 do vojny v Ukrajine kv\u00f4li mo\u017enosti obnovenia vn\u00fatorn\u00fdch nepokojov. V rokoch 2020 a 2021 sa bielorusk\u00fd prezident pri potl\u00e1\u010dan\u00ed \u013eudov\u00fdch protestov proti jeho vl\u00e1de spoliehal okrem bielorusk\u00fdch bezpe\u010dnostn\u00fdch slu\u017eieb aj na bielorusk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 sily.\n<\/p>\n

„Zapojenie v\u00fdznamnej \u010dasti tohto bezpe\u010dnostn\u00e9ho apar\u00e1tu do vojny v Ukrajine pravdepodobne sp\u00f4sob\u00ed, \u017ee Luka\u0161enko bude zranite\u013en\u00fd vo\u010di nov\u00fdm nepokojom a odporu. Luka\u0161enko si tie\u017e pravdepodobne uvedomuje, \u017ee inv\u00e1zia na Ukrajinu podkope jeho autoritu ako vodcu suver\u00e9nnej krajiny, preto\u017ee sa uk\u00e1\u017ee, \u017ee \u00fasilie Ruska o zabezpe\u010denie \u00faplnej kontroly nad Bieloruskom bolo korunovan\u00e9 \u00faspechom,“<\/em> povedali analytici.\n<\/p>\n

ISW z\u00e1rove\u0148 ver\u00ed, \u017ee vstup Bieloruska do vojny len prin\u00fati Ukrajinu do\u010dasne odvr\u00e1ti\u0165 person\u00e1l a vybavenie od s\u00fa\u010dasnej frontovej l\u00ednie a v\u00fdrazne neovplyvn\u00ed celkov\u00fd priebeh vojny.\n<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea ISW rusk\u00e1 alebo bielorusk\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva z Bieloruska nebude schopn\u00e1 preru\u0161i\u0165 ukrajinsk\u00e9 logistick\u00e9 linky na Z\u00e1pad.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Je nepravdepodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by rusk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da napadla Ukrajinu. Toto je uveden\u00e9 v Spr\u00e1va analytici z In\u0161tit\u00fatu pre \u0161t\u00fadium vojny (ISW), publikovan\u00ed v noci z 12. decembra. Analytici sa domnievaj\u00fa, \u017ee tlak Ruska na Bielorusko, aby podporilo vojnu v Ukrajine, je s\u00fa\u010das\u0165ou dlhodob\u00e9ho \u00fasilia o upevnenie \u010fal\u0161ej kontroly nad Bieloruskom. Rusko predov\u0161etk\u00fdm zv\u00fd\u0161ilo tlak na bielorusk\u00e9ho […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9574,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1255,131,6,1208],"class_list":["post-9573","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vojna-v-ukrajine","tag-alexander-lukasenko","tag-bielorusko","tag-rusko-ukrajinska-vojna","tag-spravy-o-ukrajine"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9573","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9573"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9573\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9574"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9573"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9573"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9573"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}