{"id":9228,"date":"2022-12-02T10:39:02","date_gmt":"2022-12-02T09:39:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/razvedka.info\/sk\/2022-12-britski-analytici-vysvetlili-zlyhanie-ruska-na-zaciatku-vojny\/"},"modified":"2022-12-02T10:39:02","modified_gmt":"2022-12-02T09:39:02","slug":"britski-analytici-vysvetlili-zlyhanie-ruska-na-zaciatku-vojny","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/2022-12-britski-analytici-vysvetlili-zlyhanie-ruska-na-zaciatku-vojny\/","title":{"rendered":"Britsk\u00ed analytici vysvetlili zlyhanie Ruska na za\u010diatku vojny"},"content":{"rendered":"

Vojensk\u00ed experti z Britsk\u00e9ho kr\u00e1\u013eovsk\u00e9ho in\u0161tit\u00fatu spolo\u010dn\u00fdch s\u00edl sa domnievaj\u00fa, \u017ee Rusko pl\u00e1novalo zmocni\u0165 sa Ukrajiny do 10 dn\u00ed, ale tento pl\u00e1n zlyhal kv\u00f4li „nadmern\u00e9mu utajeniu“. Toto je uveden\u00e9 v \u0160tudova\u0165<\/a> \u00dastav.<\/p>\n

Autormi spr\u00e1vy s\u00fa vojensk\u00ed experti Jack Watling a Nick Reynolds, b\u00fdval\u00fd poradca ministra obrany Ukrajiny, kore\u0161ponduj\u00faci \u010dlen RUSI Oleksandr Danyliuk a b\u00fdval\u00fd velite\u013e vzdu\u0161n\u00fdch \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch s\u00edl Ukrajiny Mykhailo Zabrodsky.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Pod\u013ea odborn\u00edkov bolo pl\u00e1nom Ruska napadn\u00fa\u0165 Ukrajinu do 10 dn\u00ed a potom obsadi\u0165 krajinu a vykona\u0165 anexiu do augusta 2022.<\/p>\n

Rusko d\u00fafalo, \u017ee r\u00fdchlos\u0165 \u00fatoku a dezinforma\u010dn\u00e1 kampa\u0148 by mohli zabezpe\u010di\u0165 r\u00fdchle obsadenie hlavn\u00e9ho mesta Ukrajiny. Okrem toho, v bl\u00edzkosti Kyjeva, Rusi dosiahli v\u00fdhodu v pomere s\u00edl – 12: 1.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e9 jednotky v\u0161ak neboli na taktickej \u00farovni pripraven\u00e9 na efekt\u00edvnu realiz\u00e1ciu svojho pl\u00e1nu. Okrem toho v\u00e4\u010d\u0161ina rusk\u00fdch jednotiek, ktor\u00e9 dostali rozkazy na ofenz\u00edvu najsk\u00f4r 24 hod\u00edn pred inv\u00e1ziou, nevedela o \u00famysle za\u00fato\u010di\u0165 na Kyjev.<\/p>\n

Rusom ch\u00fdbala mun\u00edcia, palivo, potraviny a jasn\u00e9 pochopenie toho, ako ich kroky zapadaj\u00fa do celkov\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu. V\u010faka zachovaniu tajomstva tak ozbrojen\u00e9 sily Ruskej feder\u00e1cie z\u00edskali v\u00fdhodu prekvapenia na opera\u010dnej \u00farovni, ale na taktickej \u00farovni ozbrojen\u00fdch s\u00edl Ukrajiny lep\u0161ie pochopili, \u010do maj\u00fa robi\u0165, preto\u017ee sa osem rokov pripravovali na odrazenie ofenz\u00edvy ruskej arm\u00e1dy.<\/p>\n

Najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ou nev\u00fdhodou rusk\u00e9ho pl\u00e1nu v spr\u00e1ve je nedostatok opa\u010dn\u00fdch opatren\u00ed. V d\u00f4sledku toho, ke\u010f r\u00fdchlos\u0165 nepriniesla po\u017eadovan\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky, rusk\u00e9 jednotky zistili, \u017ee ich poz\u00edcie sa neust\u00e1le zhor\u0161uj\u00fa, ke\u010f sa Ukrajina mobilizovala.<\/p>\n

Ozbrojen\u00e9 sily Ukrajiny prevzali iniciat\u00edvu z Ruska a\u017e vtedy, ke\u010f dia\u013ekov\u00e1 pa\u013eba ohrozila rusk\u00fa logistiku. Treba poznamena\u0165, \u017ee taktick\u00e1 sp\u00f4sobilos\u0165 ruskej arm\u00e1dy sa uk\u00e1zala by\u0165 ove\u013ea ni\u017e\u0161ia v porovnan\u00ed s o\u010dak\u00e1vaniami mnoh\u00fdch pozorovate\u013eov v Ukrajine a v Rusku, ako aj v zahrani\u010d\u00ed.<\/p>\n

V spr\u00e1ve sa predov\u0161etk\u00fdm dospelo k z\u00e1veru, \u017ee rusk\u00ed okupanti s\u00fa zranite\u013en\u00ed vo\u010di podvodu: vy\u0161\u0161ie org\u00e1ny pr\u00edli\u0161 d\u00f4veruj\u00fa prim\u00e1rnym inform\u00e1ci\u00e1m zhroma\u017eden\u00fdm podriaden\u00fdmi na fronte a neanalyzuj\u00fa spo\u013eahlivos\u0165 t\u00fdchto inform\u00e1ci\u00ed.<\/p>\n

V tomto pr\u00edpade velenie Ruskej feder\u00e1cie nepodporuje \u010destn\u00e9 spr\u00e1vy o zlyhaniach, \u010do komplikuje anal\u00fdzu.Rusi sa tie\u017e v\u017edy sna\u017eia splni\u0165 objedn\u00e1vku, aj ke\u010f sa v d\u00f4sledku zmeny situ\u00e1cie stala bezv\u00fdznamnou.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00fd syst\u00e9m bojov\u00fdch oper\u00e1ci\u00ed pr\u00e1porovo-taktick\u00fdch skup\u00edn (BTG) sa tie\u017e uk\u00e1zal ako ne\u00fa\u010dinn\u00fd. Po za\u010dat\u00ed inv\u00e1zie Rusi poslali osobn\u00e9 spr\u00e1vy mnoh\u00fdm ukrajinsk\u00fdm gener\u00e1lom, ktor\u00ed vyz\u00fdvali na kapitul\u00e1ciu a uistenie, \u017ee Rusko Ukrajine neubl\u00ed\u017ei.<\/p>\n

Takmer v\u0161etk\u00fdm plukovn\u00edkom ozbrojen\u00fdch s\u00edl Ukrajiny boli poslan\u00e9 spr\u00e1vy podobn\u00e9ho obsahu z anonymn\u00fdch \u010d\u00edsel. Okrem toho, na druh\u00fd de\u0148 inv\u00e1zie, rusk\u00fd prezident Vladimir Putin osobne oslovil ukrajinsk\u00e9 velenie a vyzval na zvrhnutie moci v Kyjeve. Skuto\u010dnos\u0165, \u017ee tieto snahy zlyhali, nazna\u010duje, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 spravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby zle pos\u00fadili psychol\u00f3giu ukrajinskej arm\u00e1dy, uv\u00e1dza sa v spr\u00e1ve.<\/p>\n

In\u0161tit\u00fat poznamen\u00e1va, \u017ee prim\u00e1rne zdroje v\u00e4\u010d\u0161iny \u00fadajov v tejto spr\u00e1ve e\u0161te nem\u00f4\u017eu by\u0165 zverejnen\u00e9, preto by mali by\u0165 vn\u00edman\u00e9 ako metodologicky nedokonal\u00fd d\u00f4kaz.<\/p>\n

V d\u00f4sledku toho autori spr\u00e1vy zd\u00f4raz\u0148uj\u00fa, \u017ee Ukrajina potrebuje lep\u0161iu podporu od partnerov. Pod\u013ea ich n\u00e1zoru si v\u00ed\u0165azstvo Ukrajiny vy\u017eaduje zna\u010dn\u00e9 \u0165a\u017ek\u00e9 nepriate\u013esk\u00e9 akcie, ale s n\u00e1le\u017eitou podporou m\u00f4\u017ee Ukrajina vyhra\u0165.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Vojensk\u00ed experti z Britsk\u00e9ho kr\u00e1\u013eovsk\u00e9ho in\u0161tit\u00fatu spolo\u010dn\u00fdch s\u00edl sa domnievaj\u00fa, \u017ee Rusko pl\u00e1novalo zmocni\u0165 sa Ukrajiny do 10 dn\u00ed, ale tento pl\u00e1n zlyhal kv\u00f4li „nadmern\u00e9mu utajeniu“. Toto je uveden\u00e9 v \u0160tudova\u0165 \u00dastav. Autormi spr\u00e1vy s\u00fa vojensk\u00ed experti Jack Watling a Nick Reynolds, b\u00fdval\u00fd poradca ministra obrany Ukrajiny, kore\u0161ponduj\u00faci \u010dlen RUSI Oleksandr Danyliuk a b\u00fdval\u00fd velite\u013e […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9229,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[6,1208],"class_list":["post-9228","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vojna-v-ukrajine","tag-rusko-ukrajinska-vojna","tag-spravy-o-ukrajine"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9228","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9228"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9228\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9229"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9228"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9228"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9228"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}