{"id":8262,"date":"2022-11-07T07:39:02","date_gmt":"2022-11-07T06:39:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/razvedka.info\/sk\/2022-11-kremel-nebude-schopny-prinutit-ukrajinu-rokovat-s-jadrovymi-hrozbami-tvrdi-isw\/"},"modified":"2022-11-07T07:39:02","modified_gmt":"2022-11-07T06:39:02","slug":"kremel-nebude-schopny-prinutit-ukrajinu-rokovat-s-jadrovymi-hrozbami-tvrdi-isw","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/2022-11-kremel-nebude-schopny-prinutit-ukrajinu-rokovat-s-jadrovymi-hrozbami-tvrdi-isw\/","title":{"rendered":"Kreme\u013e nebude schopn\u00fd prin\u00fati\u0165 Ukrajinu rokova\u0165 s jadrov\u00fdmi hrozbami, tvrd\u00ed ISW"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Analytici z Americk\u00e9ho in\u0161tit\u00fatu pre \u0161t\u00fadium vojny (ISW) s\u00fa presved\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 politick\u00e1 elita m\u00f4\u017ee na\u010falej organizova\u0165 takzvan\u00e9 &#8222;jadrov\u00e9 hry&#8220;, aby povzbudila Spojen\u00e9 \u0161t\u00e1ty a ich spojencov, aby vyv\u00edjali tlak na Ukrajinu, ale nebude schopn\u00e1 prin\u00fati\u0165 Kyjev rokova\u0165. Toto je uveden\u00e9 v <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.understandingwar.org\/backgrounder\/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-november-6\">Spr\u00e1va ISW<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Pod\u013ea analytikov Kreme\u013e vyostril svoju jadrov\u00fa r\u00e9toriku po rusk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch zlyhaniach v Charkovskej oblasti a po\u010das ukrajinsk\u00fdch protiofenz\u00edv v Lym\u00e1ne a na severe Chersonskej oblasti za\u010diatkom okt\u00f3bra. Moskva pravdepodobne pokra\u010dovala vo svojich zle zahalen\u00fdch jadrov\u00fdch hrozb\u00e1ch, aby odvr\u00e1tila pozornos\u0165 od svojich vojensk\u00fdch a mobiliza\u010dn\u00fdch probl\u00e9mov a zastra\u0161ila z\u00e1padn\u00fdch partnerov Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;Putin a k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00ed predstavitelia Krem\u013ea spom\u00ednali pou\u017eitie jadrov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed \u010dastej\u0161ie po\u010das Putinovho prejavu o anexii 30. septembra a po\u010das okt\u00f3bra, pravdepodobne preto, aby prin\u00fatili Ukrajinu za\u010da\u0165 rozhovory a zn\u00ed\u017eili podporu Z\u00e1padu pre Kyjev,&#8220; uv\u00e1dza sa vo vyhl\u00e1sen\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Analytici sa domnievaj\u00fa, \u017ee Putinova r\u00e9torika po\u010das tohto prejavu a po\u010das cel\u00e9ho okt\u00f3bra bola v s\u00falade s jeho predch\u00e1dzaj\u00facimi jadrov\u00fdmi hrozbami a nesp\u00f4sobila v ukrajinskej vl\u00e1de tak\u00fd strach, ak\u00fd Kreme\u013e pravdepodobne zam\u00fd\u0161\u013eal.<\/p>\n<p>K\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00ed predstavitelia Krem\u013ea v\u0161ak koncom okt\u00f3bra a za\u010diatkom novembra za\u010dali kolekt\u00edvne zni\u017eova\u0165 svoju r\u00e9toriku o pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00ed jadrov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Vladim\u00edr Putin 27. okt\u00f3bra povedal, \u017ee Rusko nemus\u00ed pou\u017ei\u0165 jadrov\u00e9 zbrane proti Ukrajine, a tvrdil, \u017ee Rusko nikdy nediskutovalo o mo\u017enosti pou\u017eitia jadrov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, len nazna\u010dilo vyhl\u00e1senia vodcov z\u00e1padn\u00fdch kraj\u00edn.<\/p>\n<p>Podpredseda ruskej Bezpe\u010dnostnej rady Dmitrij Medvedev podobne \u010doraz viac z\u013eah\u010duje vr\u00facnu jadrov\u00fa r\u00e9toriku, ktor\u00fa pou\u017e\u00edval po\u010das okt\u00f3bra, a teraz sa zameriava na presadzovanie jednoty Ruska vo vojne v Ukrajine.<\/p>\n<p>Zmeny v r\u00e9torike Krem\u013ea nazna\u010duj\u00fa, \u017ee vysok\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 velenie Ruska a spojenci Krem\u013ea si pravdepodobne do ur\u010ditej miery uvedomuj\u00fa obrovsk\u00e9 n\u00e1klady na mal\u00e9 opera\u010dn\u00e9 v\u00fdhody, ktor\u00e9 by Rusku vznikli za pou\u017eitie jadrov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed proti Ukrajine alebo NATO.<\/p>\n<p>Ved\u00faci Hlavn\u00e9ho riadite\u013estva vojenskej spravodajskej slu\u017eby (DIU) Ukrajiny Kirill Budanov 24. okt\u00f3bra zase uviedol, \u017ee jadrov\u00e1 hrozba Ruska zost\u00e1va na rovnakej \u00farovni ako pred za\u010diatkom vojny.<\/p>\n<p>Analytici poukazuj\u00fa na to, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 org\u00e1ny m\u00f4\u017eu v bud\u00facnosti vies\u0165 r\u00e9torick\u00fd jadrov\u00fd boj a sna\u017ei\u0165 sa povzbudi\u0165 Spojen\u00e9 \u0161t\u00e1ty a ich spojencov, aby vyv\u00edjali tlak na Ukrajinu, aby za\u010dala rokovania. Moskva v\u0161ak nebude schopn\u00e1 priamo prin\u00fati\u0165 Kyjev, aby rokoval s jadrov\u00fdmi hrozbami. Jadrov\u00e9 hrozby zo strany Krem\u013ea nedok\u00e1zali podkopa\u0165 politick\u00fa a verejn\u00fa v\u00f4\u013eu Ukrajiny na\u010falej odol\u00e1va\u0165 ruskej inv\u00e1zii.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;Ukrajina a jej medzin\u00e1rodn\u00ed podporovatelia dali jasne najavo, \u017ee nebud\u00fa s\u00fahlasi\u0165 s rokovaniami na strelnici a nevzdaj\u00fa sa zvrchovan\u00e9ho pr\u00e1va Ukrajiny na svoje \u00fazemia,&#8220; uviedla ISW.<\/p>\n<p>V spr\u00e1ve sa tie\u017e uv\u00e1dza, \u017ee Kreme\u013e pravdepodobne s\u00fakromne objasnil svoju &#8222;jadrov\u00fa politiku&#8220; s cie\u013eom deeskalova\u0165 vz\u0165ahy so Spojen\u00fdmi \u0161t\u00e1tmi a ich spojencami.<\/p>\n<p>Pripomen\u00fa\u0165. Predt\u00fdm sa uv\u00e1dzalo, \u017ee rusk\u00fd jadrov\u00fd \u00fader zmen\u00ed priebeh vojny proti Ukrajine v plnom rozsahu a s najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ou pravdepodobnos\u0165ou sp\u00f4sob\u00ed &#8222;fyzick\u00fa reakciu&#8220; spojencov Kyjeva a \u2013 potenci\u00e1lne \u2013 Severoatlantickej aliancie.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analytici z Americk\u00e9ho in\u0161tit\u00fatu pre \u0161t\u00fadium vojny (ISW) s\u00fa presved\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 politick\u00e1 elita m\u00f4\u017ee na\u010falej organizova\u0165 takzvan\u00e9 &#8222;jadrov\u00e9 hry&#8220;, aby povzbudila Spojen\u00e9 \u0161t\u00e1ty a ich spojencov, aby vyv\u00edjali tlak na Ukrajinu, ale nebude schopn\u00e1 prin\u00fati\u0165 Kyjev rokova\u0165. Toto je uveden\u00e9 v Spr\u00e1va ISW. Pod\u013ea analytikov Kreme\u013e vyostril svoju jadrov\u00fa r\u00e9toriku po rusk\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch zlyhaniach [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8263,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[808,393,251,83,12,6,192],"class_list":["post-8262","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vojna-v-ukrajine","tag-dmitrij-medvedev","tag-jadrove-zbrane","tag-kyrylo-budanov","tag-ruska-agresia","tag-rusko","tag-rusko-ukrajinska-vojna","tag-vladimir-putin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8262","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8262"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8262\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8263"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8262"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8262"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8262"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}