{"id":8021,"date":"2022-10-31T07:27:02","date_gmt":"2022-10-31T06:27:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/razvedka.info\/sk\/2022-10-putin-caka-na-zimu-aby-naplanoval-dalsie-kroky-v-ukrajine-isw\/"},"modified":"2022-10-31T07:27:02","modified_gmt":"2022-10-31T06:27:02","slug":"putin-caka-na-zimu-aby-naplanoval-dalsie-kroky-v-ukrajine-isw","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/2022-10-putin-caka-na-zimu-aby-naplanoval-dalsie-kroky-v-ukrajine-isw\/","title":{"rendered":"Putin \u010dak\u00e1 na zimu, aby napl\u00e1noval \u010fal\u0161ie kroky v Ukrajine \u2013 ISW"},"content":{"rendered":"

Rusk\u00fd prezident Vladim\u00edr Putin \u010dak\u00e1 na zimu a n\u00e1stup chladn\u00e9ho po\u010dasia, aby zistil, \u010di zmenia poz\u00edciu Eur\u00f3py pri podpore Ukrajiny. O tomto Spr\u00e1va<\/a> analytici In\u0161tit\u00fatu pre \u0161t\u00fadium vojny (ISW).<\/p>\n

In\u0161tit\u00fat predpoved\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko bude pokra\u010dova\u0165 vo vykon\u00e1van\u00ed konven\u010dn\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch oper\u00e1ci\u00ed a\u017e do roku 2023, ale neprejde na pou\u017e\u00edvanie taktick\u00fdch jadrov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a nezn\u00ed\u017ei svoje ciele v snahe dosiahnu\u0165 konkr\u00e9tne v\u00fdsledky.<\/p>\n

Putin sa pravdepodobne pok\u00fasi pokra\u010dova\u0165 vo vojne v Ukrajine, aby udr\u017eal v s\u00fa\u010dasnosti okupovan\u00e9 \u00fazemia, z\u00edskal nov\u00e9 poz\u00edcie a vytvoril podmienky pre kolaps z\u00e1padnej podpory pre Ukrajinu, ktor\u00fd o\u010dak\u00e1va, \u017ee sa uskuto\u010dn\u00ed t\u00fato zimu.<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea vojensk\u00fdch analytikov je nepravdepodobn\u00e9, \u017ee by Putin eskaloval k pou\u017eitiu taktick\u00fdch jadrov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, pokia\u013e n\u00e1hly kolaps ruskej arm\u00e1dy nepovedie k nekontrolovan\u00e9mu postupu ukrajinsk\u00fdch vojsk na celom \u00fazem\u00ed nepriate\u013esk\u00fdch akci\u00ed. Tak\u00e1to situ\u00e1cia je mo\u017en\u00e1, ale nepravdepodobn\u00e1, poznamen\u00e1va ISW.<\/p>\n

Okrem toho sa predpoklad\u00e1, \u017ee Putin sa bude usilova\u0165 o priamy vojensk\u00fd konflikt s NATO.<\/p>\n

Je v\u0161ak ve\u013emi pravdepodobn\u00e9, \u017ee bude na\u010falej nazna\u010dova\u0165 mo\u017enos\u0165 rusk\u00e9ho taktick\u00e9ho jadrov\u00e9ho \u00fatoku a \u00fatoku na NATO s cie\u013eom „prelomi\u0165 v\u00f4\u013eu Z\u00e1padu pokra\u010dova\u0165 v podpore Ukrajiny“.<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea ISW kombin\u00e1cia novo dokon\u010denej \u010diasto\u010dnej mobiliz\u00e1cie rezervy a ro\u010dn\u00e9ho brann\u00e9ho cyklu vytv\u00e1ra dve pravdepodobnej\u0161ie vlny rusk\u00fdch vojsk bojuj\u00facich v Ukrajine \u2013 jeden z nich sa v najbli\u017e\u0161\u00edch t\u00fd\u017ed\u0148och pripoj\u00ed k radom \u00fato\u010dn\u00edkov a druh\u00fd sa za\u010dne prip\u00e1ja\u0165 na jar 2023.<\/p>\n

\u010ciasto\u010dn\u00e1 mobiliz\u00e1cia Ruska teraz rozmiest\u0148uje svoje jednotky v Ukrajine sp\u00f4sobom, ktor\u00fd je pravdepodobne ur\u010den\u00fd na posilnenie ruskej obrany a umo\u017enenie rusk\u00fdm jednotk\u00e1m udr\u017ea\u0165 si svoje poz\u00edcie proti o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00fdm ukrajinsk\u00fdm proti\u00fatokov\u00fdm oper\u00e1ci\u00e1m po\u010das zvy\u0161ku jesene a zimy.<\/p>\n

In\u0161tit\u00fat z\u00e1rove\u0148 uv\u00e1dza, \u017ee rusk\u00e1 \u010diasto\u010dn\u00e1 mobiliz\u00e1cia z\u00e1lo\u017en\u00edkov, ktor\u00e1 sa pr\u00e1ve skon\u010dila, presved\u010divo nazna\u010duje, \u017ee Putin m\u00e1 v \u00famysle pokra\u010dova\u0165 v boji a\u017e do roku 2023 a nepo\u010d\u00edta\u0165 s ur\u010dit\u00fdm pr\u00edmer\u00edm alebo eskal\u00e1ciou, ktor\u00e1 by mohla ukon\u010di\u0165 vojnu pod\u013ea jeho podmienok.<\/p>\n

ISW tie\u017e analyzuje Putinove kroky zameran\u00e9 na „prelomenie v\u00f4le Eur\u00f3py“ zastaven\u00edm rusk\u00fdch dod\u00e1vok energie v zime. In\u0161tit\u00fat v\u0161ak uis\u0165uje, \u017ee eur\u00f3pske vl\u00e1dy pripravili svoje obyvate\u013estvo na n\u00e1ro\u010dn\u00fa zimu, \u010do najviac sa z\u00e1sobili nosi\u010dmi energie a vytvorili podmienky na zn\u00ed\u017eenie spotreby energie, a to aj na \u00fakor v\u00fdznamn\u00fdch hospod\u00e1rskych str\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

Tieto opatrenia nazna\u010duj\u00fa, \u017ee eur\u00f3pski l\u00eddri s\u00fa pripraven\u00ed na tlak, ktor\u00e9mu bud\u00fa pravdepodobne \u010deli\u0165 na za\u010diatku chladn\u00e9ho obdobia. Putin m\u00f4\u017ee d\u00fafa\u0165, \u017ee Eur\u00f3pa nebude schopn\u00e1 odola\u0165 tomuto tlaku po\u010das zimy, ale to sa vyjasn\u00ed s n\u00e1stupom najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ieho chladn\u00e9ho po\u010dasia.<\/p>\n

Ako nazna\u010duje ISW, Putin bude m\u00f4c\u0165 pozorova\u0165 vplyv zimy na v\u00f4\u013eu Eur\u00f3panov rozhodn\u00fa\u0165 sa, \u010di na jar po\u0161le svojich brancov na Ukrajinu, alebo sa uch\u00fdli k in\u00e9mu pl\u00e1nu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusk\u00fd prezident Vladim\u00edr Putin \u010dak\u00e1 na zimu a n\u00e1stup chladn\u00e9ho po\u010dasia, aby zistil, \u010di zmenia poz\u00edciu Eur\u00f3py pri podpore Ukrajiny. O tomto Spr\u00e1va analytici In\u0161tit\u00fatu pre \u0161t\u00fadium vojny (ISW). In\u0161tit\u00fat predpoved\u00e1, \u017ee Rusko bude pokra\u010dova\u0165 vo vykon\u00e1van\u00ed konven\u010dn\u00fdch vojensk\u00fdch oper\u00e1ci\u00ed a\u017e do roku 2023, ale neprejde na pou\u017e\u00edvanie taktick\u00fdch jadrov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed a nezn\u00ed\u017ei svoje ciele […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8022,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[6,1208,192],"class_list":["post-8021","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vojna-v-ukrajine","tag-rusko-ukrajinska-vojna","tag-spravy-o-ukrajine","tag-vladimir-putin"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8021","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8021"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8021\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8022"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8021"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8021"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8021"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}