{"id":7432,"date":"2022-10-17T08:51:01","date_gmt":"2022-10-17T06:51:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/razvedka.info\/sk\/2022-10-rusko-vyuzije-mozne-primerie-aby-sa-pripravilo-na-dalsiu-ofenzivu-hovori-isw\/"},"modified":"2022-10-17T08:51:01","modified_gmt":"2022-10-17T06:51:01","slug":"rusko-vyuzije-mozne-primerie-aby-sa-pripravilo-na-dalsiu-ofenzivu-hovori-isw","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/2022-10-rusko-vyuzije-mozne-primerie-aby-sa-pripravilo-na-dalsiu-ofenzivu-hovori-isw\/","title":{"rendered":"Rusko vyu\u017eije mo\u017en\u00e9 „pr\u00edmerie“, aby sa pripravilo na \u010fal\u0161iu ofenz\u00edvu, hovor\u00ed ISW"},"content":{"rendered":"

Z\u00e1mery rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Vladim\u00edra Putina sa nezmenia, aj ke\u010f d\u00f4jde k do\u010dasn\u00e9mu pr\u00edmeriu. O tomto Hl\u00e1sen\u00e9<\/a> Americk\u00fd in\u0161tit\u00fat pre \u0161t\u00fadium vojny (ISW).<\/p>\n

Analytici p\u00ed\u0161u, \u017ee t\u00ed, ktor\u00ed h\u013eadaj\u00fa „trval\u00fd mier“ v Ukrajine, musia odola\u0165 poku\u0161eniu zmrazi\u0165 l\u00edniu nepriate\u013esk\u00fdch akci\u00ed tak\u00fdm sp\u00f4sobom, aby vytvorili podmienky na obnovenie vojny pod\u013ea podmienok Ruska.<\/p>\n

Konkr\u00e9tne \u010dasti ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fazemia, ktor\u00e9 s\u00fa st\u00e1le pod ruskou okup\u00e1ciou, s\u00fa nevyhnutn\u00e9 pre dlhodob\u00fa \u017eivotaschopnos\u0165 nez\u00e1vislej Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n

Strategicky d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00fdm regi\u00f3nom pre NATO aj Ukrajinu je najm\u00e4 Krym. Okup\u00e1cia polostrova umo\u017e\u0148uje Rusku zalo\u017ei\u0165 protilietadlov\u00e9 a protilodn\u00e9 rakety o 325 kilometrov \u010falej na z\u00e1pad, ako by mohlo, pri\u010dom vyu\u017e\u00edva iba \u00fazemie, ktor\u00e9 leg\u00e1lne kontroluje. Umo\u017e\u0148uje tie\u017e Rusku rozmiestni\u0165 lietadl\u00e1 v Sevastopole asi 300 kilometrov z\u00e1padne ako leteck\u00e9 z\u00e1kladne na \u00fazem\u00ed Ruskej feder\u00e1cie.<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea ISW je tento rozdiel d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00fd pre rozsah hrozby, ktor\u00fa m\u00f4\u017ee Rusko predstavova\u0165 pre juhov\u00fdchodn\u00fd bok NATO, ako aj pre schopnos\u0165 Ruska pripravi\u0165 a podpori\u0165 inv\u00e1ziu na Ukrajinu. Zo v\u0161etk\u00fdch ukrajinsk\u00fdch kraj\u00edn, v ktor\u00fdch m\u00e1 NATO z\u00e1ujem doby\u0165, by mal by\u0165 Krym na vrchole zoznamu.<\/p>\n

Okrem toho je potrebn\u00e9 poznamena\u0165, \u017ee s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 opevnenie na z\u00e1padnom brehu v regi\u00f3ne Cherson je \u017eivotne d\u00f4le\u017eitou oblas\u0165ou tejto oblasti. Ak pr\u00edmerie alebo ak\u00e1ko\u013evek dohoda pozastav\u00ed nepriate\u013esk\u00e9 akcie a Rusi bud\u00fa oblas\u0165 st\u00e1le vlastni\u0165, vyhliadky na obnovenie ruskej ofenz\u00edvy na ju\u017enej Ukrajine sa v\u00fdrazne zlep\u0161ia. Na druhej strane, ak Ukrajina znovu z\u00edska kontrolu nad cel\u00fdm z\u00e1padn\u00fdm brehom rieky, pre Rusov bude pravdepodobne mimoriadne \u0165a\u017ek\u00e9 uskuto\u010dni\u0165 pozemn\u00e9 \u00fatoky na juhoz\u00e1padn\u00fa Ukrajinu. Dlhodob\u00e1 obrann\u00e1 schopnos\u0165 Mykolaivu, Odesy a cel\u00e9ho pobre\u017eia \u010cierneho mora v Ukrajine teda do zna\u010dnej miery z\u00e1vis\u00ed od oslobodenia z\u00e1padn\u00e9ho Chersonu. \u010casti regi\u00f3nu Cherson na v\u00fdchodnom brehu Dnepra s\u00fa tie\u017e strategicky d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 poz\u00edcie v t\u00fdchto oblastiach umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00fa rusk\u00fdm sil\u00e1m strie\u013ea\u0165 na v\u00e4\u010d\u0161inu ukrajinsk\u00e9ho pobre\u017eia \u010cierneho mora z mnoh\u00fdch syst\u00e9mov kr\u00e1tkeho dosahu bez toho, aby museli pou\u017e\u00edva\u0165 drah\u00e9 vybavenie s dlh\u00fdm dosahom, ktor\u00e9 bude v\u017edy v men\u0161ine.<\/p>\n

ISW p\u00ed\u0161e, \u017ee Dnipro by nemal by\u0165 prvou obrannou l\u00edniou Ukrajiny, ale sk\u00f4r poslednou. Rieka je najspo\u013eahlivej\u0161ou obranou, ak Rusi musia najprv postupova\u0165 smerom k nej a potom sa pripravi\u0165 na prechod, zatia\u013e \u010do ukrajinsk\u00ed obrancovia naru\u0161ia ich \u00fasilie. Ukrajina by mala by\u0165 schopn\u00e1 vytv\u00e1ra\u0165 a udr\u017eiava\u0165 poz\u00edcie na v\u00fdchodnom brehu rieky.<\/p>\n

Preuk\u00e1zan\u00e1 nezodpovednos\u0165 Ruska v s\u00favislosti s jadrov\u00fdmi zariadeniami v Ukrajine tie\u017e sp\u00f4sobuje, \u017ee z bezpe\u010dnostn\u00e9ho h\u013eadiska je d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9 vr\u00e1ti\u0165 ZNPP pod kontrolu Ukrajiny.<\/p>\n

T\u00fdm, \u017ee Ukrajina a \u010fal\u0161ie \u0161t\u00e1ty umo\u017enia Moskve udr\u017ea\u0165 si kontrolu nad ZNPP, \u010delia neust\u00e1lemu riziku ochoty Ruska hra\u0165 sa s jadrovou pa\u013ebou. Preto musia by\u0165 Rusi tie\u017e dr\u017ean\u00ed mimo delostreleck\u00e9ho dosahu Energodaru. L\u00ednia potrebn\u00e1 na spo\u013eahliv\u00fa ochranu ukrajinsk\u00fdch vojsk ZNPP sa v z\u00e1sade nach\u00e1dza asi 50 kilometrov ju\u017ene od Enerhodaru. \u010eal\u0161\u00edm kritick\u00fdm uzlom je Melitopol. Ak si Rusi zachovaj\u00fa kontrolu nad Melitopolom a cestami ved\u00facimi na juh a v\u00fdchod od neho, mohli by z neho urobi\u0165 ve\u013ek\u00fa polovojensk\u00fa z\u00e1klad\u0148u, z ktorej by mohli vykon\u00e1va\u0165 \u00fatoky.<\/p>\n

Tak\u00e1to z\u00e1klad\u0148a, ktor\u00e1 sa z h\u013eadiska po\u010dtu vojensk\u00fdch zariaden\u00ed a kapac\u00edt na nej m\u00f4\u017ee podoba\u0165 Belgorodu, bude predstavova\u0165 neust\u00e1lu hrozbu pre ZNPP, ukrajinsk\u00e9 poz\u00edcie na v\u00fdchodnom brehu Dnepra, ako aj pre Z\u00e1poro\u017eie a Dneper. Analytici in\u0161tit\u00fatu p\u00ed\u0161u, \u017ee ak Ukrajina znovu z\u00edska kontrolu nad Melitopolom, Rusi bud\u00fa obmedzen\u00ed na Krym a prostredn\u00edctvom Perekop Isthmus. Ochrana pred tak\u00fdmto \u00fatokom je ove\u013ea jednoduch\u0161ia. Na severov\u00fdchodnej Ukrajine sa nach\u00e1dza aj nieko\u013eko strategicky d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00fdch oblast\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Mest\u00e1 Svatove, Starobilsk a Bilovodsk sa nach\u00e1dzaj\u00fa na hlavn\u00fdch cestn\u00fdch kri\u017eovatk\u00e1ch, ktor\u00fdch kontrola \u010diasto\u010dne ur\u010duje, ktor\u00e9 z\u00e1kladne v samotnom Rusku m\u00f4\u017eu Rusi pou\u017ei\u0165 na podporu bud\u00facich \u00fatokov priamo v Ukrajine. \u017deleznica ved\u00faca severne od Luhanska cez Starobilsk k ruskej hranici je obzvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e1, preto\u017ee rusk\u00e9 jednotky s\u00fa vo ve\u013ekej miere z\u00e1visl\u00e9 od \u017eeleznice. Rusi m\u00f4\u017eu tie\u017e presun\u00fa\u0165 vojakov zo z\u00e1kladne v Boguchare na ukrajinsk\u00fa cestu prech\u00e1dzaj\u00facu cez Bilovodsk.<\/p>\n

Ak si Rusko zachov\u00e1 kontrolu nad t\u00fdmito k\u013e\u00fa\u010dov\u00fdmi kri\u017eovatkami a sie\u0165ami ciest a \u017eelezn\u00edc, poskytne Moskve v\u00fdznamn\u00fa v\u00fdhodu pri pr\u00edprave na obnovenie inv\u00e1zie zo severov\u00fdchodu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Z\u00e1mery rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Vladim\u00edra Putina sa nezmenia, aj ke\u010f d\u00f4jde k do\u010dasn\u00e9mu pr\u00edmeriu. O tomto Hl\u00e1sen\u00e9 Americk\u00fd in\u0161tit\u00fat pre \u0161t\u00fadium vojny (ISW). Analytici p\u00ed\u0161u, \u017ee t\u00ed, ktor\u00ed h\u013eadaj\u00fa „trval\u00fd mier“ v Ukrajine, musia odola\u0165 poku\u0161eniu zmrazi\u0165 l\u00edniu nepriate\u013esk\u00fdch akci\u00ed tak\u00fdm sp\u00f4sobom, aby vytvorili podmienky na obnovenie vojny pod\u013ea podmienok Ruska. Konkr\u00e9tne \u010dasti ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fazemia, ktor\u00e9 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":7433,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[83,6,1208,14],"class_list":["post-7432","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vojna-v-ukrajine","tag-ruska-agresia","tag-rusko-ukrajinska-vojna","tag-spravy-o-ukrajine","tag-vojnove-zlociny-ruska"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7432","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7432"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7432\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7433"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7432"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7432"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7432"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}