{"id":20606,"date":"2023-11-14T10:09:02","date_gmt":"2023-11-14T09:09:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/razvedka.info\/sk\/2023-11-budanov-pomenoval-faktory-od-ktorych-zavisi-schopnost-ruska-pokracovat-vo-vojne\/"},"modified":"2023-11-14T10:09:02","modified_gmt":"2023-11-14T09:09:02","slug":"budanov-pomenoval-faktory-od-ktorych-zavisi-schopnost-ruska-pokracovat-vo-vojne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/2023-11-budanov-pomenoval-faktory-od-ktorych-zavisi-schopnost-ruska-pokracovat-vo-vojne\/","title":{"rendered":"Budanov pomenoval faktory, od ktor\u00fdch z\u00e1vis\u00ed schopnos\u0165 Ruska pokra\u010dova\u0165 vo vojne"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Vojna v Ukrajine bude m\u00f4c\u0165 pokra\u010dova\u0165 dlho, mo\u017eno bez \u0165a\u017ek\u00fdch nepriate\u013esk\u00fdch akci\u00ed. Vo v\u0161eobecnosti schopnos\u0165 Ruska pokra\u010dova\u0165 vo vojne z\u00e1vis\u00ed od troch faktorov. Uviedol to ved\u00faci hlavn\u00e9ho riadite\u013estva spravodajskej slu\u017eby Kyrylo Budanov 13. novembra v <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/nv.ua\/ukr\/world\/geopolitics\/viyna-v-ukrajini-eksperti-pro-te-shcho-bude-yakshcho-viyna-ne-zakinchitsya-i-stane-poziciynoyu-y-zatyazhnoyu-50367304.html\">Koment\u00e1re<\/a> pre NV.<\/p>\n<p>Pod\u013ea neho je scen\u00e1r, v ktorom vojna m\u00f4\u017ee trva\u0165 dlho, celkom realistick\u00fd \u2013 Rusi jednoducho nepodp\u00ed\u0161u \u017eiadnu dohodu s Kyjevom a koal\u00edciou spojencov. Rusko bude pokra\u010dova\u0165 v chaotickom ostre\u013eovan\u00ed \u00fazemia Ukrajiny, ale bez vedenia siln\u00fdch nepriate\u013esk\u00fdch akci\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;V hist\u00f3rii s\u00fa pr\u00edpady, ke\u010f dlhotrvaj\u00face vojny medzi \u0161t\u00e1tmi neboli pr\u00e1vne ukon\u010den\u00e9. Jednoduch\u00fdm pr\u00edkladom je Rusk\u00e1 feder\u00e1cia a Japonsko, po roku 1945 nepodp\u00edsali mierov\u00fa zmluvu nad Severn\u00fdmi ostrovmi. Tento \u00fazemn\u00fd probl\u00e9m je star\u00fd viac ako 70 rokov. Preto je tento scen\u00e1r ve\u013emi pravdepodobn\u00fd aj tu, preto\u017ee Rusk\u00e1 feder\u00e1cia m\u00e1 zna\u010dn\u00e9 \u00fazemn\u00e9 ch\u00fa\u0165ky pre Ukrajinu, ktor\u00e9 sa net\u00fdkaj\u00fa len Krymu. Samozrejme, nikto tieto ch\u00fa\u0165ky neuspokoj\u00ed,&#8220; povedal Budanov.<\/p>\n<p>V odpovedi na ot\u00e1zku &#8222;ako dlho m\u00f4\u017ee Rusk\u00e1 feder\u00e1cia vies\u0165 vysoko intenz\u00edvne nepriate\u013esk\u00e9 akcie&#8220;, ved\u00faci hlavn\u00e9ho riadite\u013estva spravodajsk\u00fdch slu\u017eieb uviedol faktory, od ktor\u00fdch bude z\u00e1visie\u0165 bud\u00facnos\u0165 Ruska: syst\u00e9mov\u00e9 zmeny v ruskej ekonomike, vonkaj\u0161ie dod\u00e1vky vojensko-technick\u00e9ho tovaru a psychologick\u00fd faktor &#8211; rast vojnovej \u00fanavy v spolo\u010dnosti.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;Rusk\u00e1 feder\u00e1cia m\u00e1 zatia\u013e st\u00e1le ekonomick\u00fa stabilitu. \u00c1no, sme svedkami rozsiahlej palivovej kr\u00edzy, prudk\u00e9ho n\u00e1rastu cien potrav\u00edn (za posledn\u00e9 dva mesiace ceny vysko\u010dili dvakr\u00e1t o 15 &#8211; 20 %) a \u010fal\u0161\u00edch tovarov a slu\u017eieb. To v\u0161etko podkop\u00e1va ich ekonomiku a soci\u00e1lnu sf\u00e9ru a v roku 2025 bud\u00fa \u010deli\u0165 skuto\u010dn\u00fdm probl\u00e9mom,&#8220; hovor\u00ed Budanov.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00fdrobn\u00e9 re\u0165azce v Ruskej feder\u00e1cii e\u0161te neboli zni\u010den\u00e9 a m\u00f4\u017eu sa skladova\u0165 viac ako jeden rok. Vojnov\u00e1 \u00fanava medzi Rusmi v\u0161ak r\u00fdchlo rastie a popul\u00e1cia, vr\u00e1tane mu\u017eov, tie\u017e r\u00fdchlo kles\u00e1, hoci to neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee Putin bude ma\u0165 probl\u00e9my s &#8222;krmivom pre del\u00e1&#8220;. Budanov hovor\u00ed, \u017ee teraz je ve\u013emi d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e9 po\u010d\u00fava\u0165 ekon\u00f3mov, ktor\u00ed modeluj\u00fa situ\u00e1cie, ber\u00fac do \u00favahy ve\u013ea r\u00f4znych \u00fadajov.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;Existuje n\u00e1dej, \u017ee rok 2025 bude zlomov\u00fdm bodom z h\u013eadiska vn\u00fatorn\u00fdch syst\u00e9mov\u00fdch de\u0161trukt\u00edvnych zmien a procesov v ruskom \u0161t\u00e1te, spolo\u010dnosti a ekonomike. Nie je to v\u0161ak predpove\u010f, ale o\u010dak\u00e1vanie. Odteraz, na z\u00e1klade dostupn\u00fdch faktorov, existuje mo\u017enos\u0165, ale nezab\u00fadajme, \u017ee t\u00e1to vojna sa globalizuje ka\u017ed\u00fd mesiac a vedie k nov\u00fdm procesom. Bud\u00fa sa tie\u017e prekr\u00fdva\u0165 so situ\u00e1ciou a v\u00fdrazne zmenia v\u0161etky predch\u00e1dzaj\u00face v\u00fdpo\u010dty. Je to v\u00fdzva, ktorej u\u017e \u010delili popredn\u00ed svetov\u00ed analytici,&#8220; povedal Budanov.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Vojna v Ukrajine bude m\u00f4c\u0165 pokra\u010dova\u0165 dlho, mo\u017eno bez \u0165a\u017ek\u00fdch nepriate\u013esk\u00fdch akci\u00ed. Vo v\u0161eobecnosti schopnos\u0165 Ruska pokra\u010dova\u0165 vo vojne z\u00e1vis\u00ed od troch faktorov. Uviedol to ved\u00faci hlavn\u00e9ho riadite\u013estva spravodajskej slu\u017eby Kyrylo Budanov 13. novembra v Koment\u00e1re pre NV. Pod\u013ea neho je scen\u00e1r, v ktorom vojna m\u00f4\u017ee trva\u0165 dlho, celkom realistick\u00fd \u2013 Rusi jednoducho nepodp\u00ed\u0161u \u017eiadnu [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":20607,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[251,6],"class_list":["post-20606","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vojna-v-ukrajine","tag-kyrylo-budanov","tag-rusko-ukrajinska-vojna"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20606","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20606"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20606\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20607"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20606"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20606"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20606"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}