{"id":14869,"date":"2023-05-09T19:03:05","date_gmt":"2023-05-09T17:03:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/razvedka.info\/sk\/2023-05-ked-protiofenziva\/"},"modified":"2023-05-09T19:03:05","modified_gmt":"2023-05-09T17:03:05","slug":"ked-protiofenziva","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/2023-05-ked-protiofenziva\/","title":{"rendered":"Ke\u010f protiofenz\u00edva"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Kedy bude teda protiofenz\u00edva ukrajinsk\u00e1? Je ofenz\u00edva spr\u00e1vnej\u0161ia? Presn\u00e1 terminol\u00f3gia tu nie je pre n\u00e1s civilistov tak\u00e1 d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e1. D\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e1 je samotn\u00e1 skuto\u010dnos\u0165 r\u00fdchleho odstr\u00e1nenia okup\u00e1cie. Teraz m\u00f4\u017eeme takmer ur\u010dite poveda\u0165, \u017ee &#8222;jarn\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva&#8220;, ktor\u00e1 bola tak o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00e1, bola ozn\u00e1men\u00e1 tak dlho, bola tak v\u00e1\u0161nivo diskutovan\u00e1 v Ukrajine aj v Rusku a nakoniec na celom svete, bohu\u017eia\u013e, nestane. A ukrajinsk\u00e9 ozbrojen\u00e9 sily, ktor\u00e9 pris\u013e\u00fabil Kyrylo Budanov, sa s najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ou pravdepodobnos\u0165ou nestan\u00fa ani do konca jari. Jejda.<\/p>\n<p>A z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u2013 na\u0161\u0165astie. Na\u0161\u0165astie m\u00e1me na \u010dele na\u0161ej arm\u00e1dy celkom m\u00fadrych a rozumn\u00fdch velite\u013eov, ktor\u00ed vedia, kedy, za ak\u00fdch okolnost\u00ed je mo\u017en\u00e9 vychova\u0165 bojovn\u00edkov vo ve\u013ekom \u00fatoku. Ke\u010f nemus\u00edte plati\u0165 pr\u00edli\u0161 vysok\u00fa cenu za oslobodenie \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/p>\n<div id=\"videoAdvWrapper1563226\"><\/div>\n<p>V tejto s\u00favislosti stoj\u00ed za to venova\u0165 pozornos\u0165 rozhovoru, ktor\u00fd novin\u00e1m poskytol \u010desk\u00fd prezident Petr Pavel <em><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2023\/may\/07\/czech-president-petr-pavel-warns-against-rushed-ukraine-counteroffensive\">The Guardian<\/a> <\/em>po\u010das n\u00e1v\u0161tevy Lond\u00fdna pri pr\u00edle\u017eitosti korunov\u00e1cie kr\u00e1\u013ea Karola III.<em>.<\/em> Najzauj\u00edmavej\u0161ie pre n\u00e1s boli jeho slov\u00e1 o nadch\u00e1dzaj\u00facej \u00fato\u010dnej oper\u00e1cii Ozbrojen\u00fdch s\u00edl Ukrajiny. Pavel je sk\u00fasen\u00fd vojak, ke\u010f\u017ee nie je len gener\u00e1lom vo v\u00fdslu\u017ebe, ale b\u00fdval\u00fdm n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edkom Gener\u00e1lneho \u0161t\u00e1bu Arm\u00e1dy \u010ceskej republiky a b\u00fdval\u00fdm predsedom Vojensk\u00e9ho v\u00fdboru NATO. A od vrcholu svojich sk\u00fasenost\u00ed naliehal, aby netla\u010dil ukrajinsk\u00fa arm\u00e1du do ofenz\u00edvy, &#8222;k\u00fdm nebud\u00fa vojaci plne pripraven\u00ed&#8220;.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;M\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 l\u00e1kav\u00e9 ur\u00fdchli\u0165 varenie, aby sa uk\u00e1zali nejak\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky. Ale zd\u00e1 sa, \u017ee oni (ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da \u2013 pozn. red.) maj\u00fa st\u00e1le pocit, \u017ee nemaj\u00fa v\u0161etko na \u00faspe\u0161n\u00e9 spustenie oper\u00e1cie. Preto m\u00f4\u017ee by\u0165 pre niektor\u00fdch l\u00e1kav\u00e9 postr\u010di\u0165 ich, aby preuk\u00e1zali nejak\u00e9 v\u00fdsledky. Pre Ukrajinu bude mimoriadne \u0161kodliv\u00e9, ak t\u00e1to protiofenz\u00edva zlyh\u00e1, preto\u017ee minim\u00e1lne tento rok nebud\u00fa ma\u0165 in\u00fa \u0161ancu,&#8220; varoval \u010desk\u00fd prezident.<\/p>\n<p>Vyzval tie\u017e, aby sme Rusov nepodce\u0148ovali. &#8222;Maj\u00fa dostatok pracovnej sily, st\u00e1le maj\u00fa dostatok vybavenia, aj ke\u010f je star\u0161ia, mo\u017eno v men\u0161om po\u010dte, ale st\u00e1le maj\u00fa ve\u013ek\u00e9 mno\u017estvo delostreleck\u00fdch sudov, maj\u00fa ve\u013ea mun\u00edcie. Z h\u013eadiska obrany nie s\u00fa tak\u00ed neschopn\u00ed. A, samozrejme, by\u0165 v defenz\u00edve, je to pre nich jednoduch\u0161ie, preto\u017ee Ukrajina by utrpela stra\u0161n\u00e9 straty, aj keby boli dobre pripraven\u00ed. Preto bude \u0165a\u017ek\u00e9 za\u00fato\u010di\u0165 na tak\u00e9ho nepriate\u013ea, ak\u00fdm je Rusko, a Rusi nebud\u00fa druh\u00fdkr\u00e1t zasko\u010den\u00ed,&#8220; povedal \u010desk\u00fd prezident.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c1no, napriek tomu, \u017ee cel\u00e1 Ukrajina (najm\u00e4 okupovan\u00e1 \u010das\u0165), cel\u00fd progres\u00edvny svet \u010dak\u00e1 na na\u0161u protiofenz\u00edvu, v \u017eiadnom pr\u00edpade sa netreba pon\u00e1h\u013ea\u0165. &#8222;Promedlenie smrti je ako,&#8220; varoval Vladim\u00edr Lenin v roku 1917 a povzbudil svojich kamar\u00e1tov k okt\u00f3brov\u00e9mu prevratu. &#8222;Pon\u00e1h\u013eanie sa na smr\u0165 je podobn\u00e9&#8220; \u2013 teraz m\u00f4\u017eeme poveda\u0165 o protiofenz\u00edve.<\/p>\n<p>St\u00e1le n\u00e1m ch\u00fdbaj\u00fa zbrane na vytvorenie silnej \u0161okovej p\u00e4ste. Rusk\u00ed okupanti s\u00fa pr\u00edli\u0161 dobre pripraven\u00ed pozd\u013a\u017e celej frontovej l\u00ednie na to, aby ju dok\u00e1zali prelomi\u0165 tak \u013eahko ako vlani v septembri v Charkovskej oblasti alebo v novembri v Chersonskej oblasti.<\/p>\n<p>Ukrajine najviac ch\u00fdba leteck\u00e1 podpora. Zd\u00f4raz\u0148uje to najm\u00e4 azerbajd\u017eansk\u00fd vojensk\u00fd expert Agil Rustamzade, ktor\u00fd kedysi sl\u00fa\u017eil v letectve. V s\u00fa\u010dasnosti m\u00e1 ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da menej ako sto bojov\u00fdch lietadiel. V Rusku, aj po mnoh\u00fdch straten\u00fdch aut\u00e1ch, existuje asi pol tis\u00edc lietadiel. Rozdiel, ako vid\u00edme, je obrovsk\u00fd, najm\u00e4 vzh\u013eadom na to, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 lietadl\u00e1 s\u00fa modernizovanej\u0161ie ako tie, ktor\u00e9 disponuje Ukrajina. \u00c1no, bolo by skvel\u00e9, keby sme dostali Ameri\u010dana pred ofenz\u00edvou <em>F-16,<\/em> Franc\u00faz\u0161tina <em>Dassault Rafale<\/em>Britsk\u00fd <em>Eurofighter Typhoon<\/em>. Ale m\u00e1me to, \u010do m\u00e1me.<\/p>\n<p>&#8222;Bude to kolos\u00e1lna strata. Samozrejme, ako gener\u00e1lny \u0161t\u00e1b nem\u00e1m v\u0161etky inform\u00e1cie, ale na z\u00e1klade v\u0161etk\u00e9ho, \u010do vid\u00edm, by som odporu\u010dil Ozbrojen\u00fdm sil\u00e1m Ukrajiny, aby aspo\u0148 do augusta nevykon\u00e1vali \u017eiadne rozsiahle \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 oper\u00e1cie,&#8220; varuje expert.<\/p>\n<p>Tak\u017ee a\u017e do augusta. No, mo\u017eno s\u00fa tieto slov\u00e1 spr\u00e1vne, vzh\u013eadom na to, \u017ee existuje ve\u013ea modern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, vr\u00e1tane americk\u00fdch tankov <em>Abrams M1A2<\/em> vst\u00fapi do slu\u017eby v Ozbrojen\u00fdch sil\u00e1ch Ukrajiny a\u017e v auguste.<\/p>\n<p>To je, samozrejme, po\u013eutovaniahodn\u00e9, \u017ee mus\u00edme od\u010fa\u013eova\u0165 oslobodenie na\u0161ich \u00fazem\u00ed od ra\u0161istov. Preto\u017ee vieme, ak\u00e9 utrpenie po\u010das okup\u00e1cie trpia Ukrajinci, najm\u00e4 t\u00ed, ktor\u00fdch duch nie je zlomen\u00fd, ktor\u00ed vzdoruj\u00fa, aspo\u0148 pas\u00edvne. Toto oneskorenie z\u00e1rove\u0148 umo\u017e\u0148uje nepriate\u013eovi by\u0165 lep\u0161ie pripraven\u00fd. Kompletn\u00e9 zbit\u00e9 jednotky, oprava po\u0161koden\u00e9ho vybavenia, v\u00fdroba a dod\u00e1vka \u010fal\u0161ej mun\u00edcie, lep\u0161ie posilnenie obrann\u00fdch l\u00edni\u00ed at\u010f.<\/p>\n<p>Situ\u00e1cia s pr\u00edpravami na ukrajinsk\u00fa protiofenz\u00edvu by bola, samozrejme, \u00faplne in\u00e1, keby na\u0161i z\u00e1padn\u00ed spojenci tak dlho neot\u00e1\u013eali poskytovanie modernej vojenskej techniky. Koniec koncov, st\u00e1le me\u0161kaj\u00fa s mnoh\u00fdmi druhmi zbran\u00ed, najm\u00e4, ako u\u017e bolo spomenut\u00e9, s letectvom. A tie\u017e s raketami dlh\u00e9ho doletu (aspo\u0148 ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00fdch 300 km). \u00c1no, a chcel by som viac tankov.<\/p>\n<p>Ke\u010f Vladimir Putin pred rokom v telev\u00edznom prejave ospravedl\u0148oval inv\u00e1ziu na Ukrajinu, varoval ostatn\u00e9 krajiny, aby nezasahovali. V opa\u010dnom pr\u00edpade rusk\u00fd dikt\u00e1tor pohrozil, \u017ee bud\u00fa \u010deli\u0165 &#8222;bezprecedentn\u00fdm n\u00e1sledkom v hist\u00f3rii&#8220;. Ber\u00fa z\u00e1padn\u00ed l\u00eddri tieto hrozby v\u00e1\u017ene? Ur\u010dite. Domnievam sa, \u017ee mnoh\u00ed z nich sa dokonca triasli strachom. Tak\u017ee prekonali svoj strach a nakoniec za\u010dali pom\u00e1ha\u0165 Ukrajine zbra\u0148ami, dokonca t\u00fato pomoc ka\u017ed\u00fd mesiac zvy\u0161ovali.<\/p>\n<p>Ale neprestali sa b\u00e1\u0165. A okrem toho dostali vynikaj\u00facu v\u00fdhovorku na zakrytie svojho strachu: Putin pohrozil nekonven\u010dn\u00fdm \u00faderom, a to je jadrov\u00e1 vojna. Existuje teda hypotetick\u00fd d\u00f4vod na odradenie od vojenskej pomoci Ukrajine. &#8222;Putin pravdepodobne blafuje s jadrovou odpove\u010fou, ale mo\u017eno nie, kto vie. V \u017eiadnom pr\u00edpade nem\u00f4\u017eeme dovoli\u0165 jadrov\u00fa apokalypsu, preto\u017ee zni\u010d\u00ed cel\u00fa na\u0161u civiliz\u00e1ciu,&#8220; ospravedl\u0148uj\u00fa svoje \u010diny z\u00e1padn\u00ed politici.<\/p>\n<p>V poslednej dobe jedna z najpopul\u00e1rnej\u0161\u00edch streamovac\u00edch platforiem <em>Netflix<\/em> vydal s\u00e9riu &#8222;The Diplomat&#8220; na telev\u00edznych obrazovk\u00e1ch. Udalosti v \u0148om sa odohr\u00e1vaj\u00fa na pozad\u00ed vojny v Ukrajine, ale zd\u00e1 sa, \u017ee vrcholov\u00ed politici z\u00e1padn\u00e9ho sveta sa o to v skuto\u010dnosti nestaraj\u00fa. Ove\u013ea viac ich zauj\u00edma nie\u010do in\u00e9. Napr\u00edklad, aby nikto nepodozrieval Spojen\u00e9 \u0161t\u00e1ty alebo Ve\u013ek\u00fa Brit\u00e1niu z demon\u0161tr\u00e1cie sily. Aj ke\u010f mus\u00edte nahradi\u0165 spojenca, aby ste opustili t\u00fato demon\u0161tr\u00e1ciu.<\/p>\n<p>E\u0161te zauj\u00edmavej\u0161\u00ed je postoj hrdinov s\u00e9rie k mo\u017enej tvrdej reakcii Ruska na jeho hybridn\u00fd teroristick\u00fd \u00fatok, ktor\u00fd viedol k smrti \u0161tyroch desiatok britsk\u00fdch n\u00e1morn\u00edkov. Britsk\u00fd premi\u00e9r je jedin\u00fd, kto je za bojov\u00fa reakciu (v niektor\u00fdch oh\u013eadoch sa podob\u00e1 Borisovi Johnsonovi), ale je vykreslen\u00fd ako takmer agres\u00edvny \u0161ialenec. To, \u010d\u00edm ste, \u010do ste, nie je v \u017eiadnom pr\u00edpade vojensk\u00e1 odpove\u010f, preto\u017ee to m\u00f4\u017ee vies\u0165 k vojne. A Rusko je jadrov\u00e1 ve\u013emoc. Akoby Brit\u00e1nia a USA neboli jadrov\u00fdmi mocnos\u0165ami.<\/p>\n<p>Samozrejme, toto v\u0161etko je kino, ale odr\u00e1\u017ea sp\u00f4sob myslenia z\u00e1padn\u00fdch politikov. Svoj\u00edm sp\u00f4sobom to vysvet\u013euje, pre\u010do st\u00e1le existuj\u00fa probl\u00e9my s dod\u00e1vkami modern\u00fdch zbran\u00ed na Ukrajinu, ktor\u00e9 by pomohli zmies\u0165 rusk\u00fdch \u00fato\u010dn\u00edkov z ukrajinsk\u00e9ho \u00fazemia v priebehu nieko\u013ek\u00fdch dn\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>A to je ne\u0161\u0165astn\u00e9. Je po\u013eutovaniahodn\u00e9, \u017ee z\u00e1padn\u00e9 mocnosti st\u00e1le veria, \u017ee ide len o vojnu medzi demokratickou Ukrajinou a totalitn\u00fdm Ruskom. \u010co sa e\u0161te neuvedomilo, je, \u017ee Kreme\u013e vedie vojnu proti cel\u00e9mu demokratick\u00e9mu svetu, len sa uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee nie je schopn\u00fd prekona\u0165 ukrajinsk\u00fd odpor, prekvapivo cel\u00e9mu svetu. Rovnako ako v piesni: &#8222;Lukostrelci bojuj\u00fa v Makivke a svet je prekvapuj\u00faci.&#8220;<\/p>\n<p>Je \u0165a\u017ek\u00e9 nes\u00fahlasi\u0165 so zn\u00e1mym kulturol\u00f3gom, riadite\u013eom V\u00fdskumn\u00e9ho centra vizu\u00e1lnej kult\u00fary v Kyjeve Vasylom Cherepanynom, ktor\u00fd v \u010dl\u00e1nku pre po\u013esk\u00e9 vydanie <em><a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/krytykapolityczna.pl\/swiat\/rosja-putinizm-kontrrewolucja-europa\/\">Krytyka Polityczna<\/a><\/em>  &#8222;Po roku otvorenej vojny vedenej Ruskom, dokonca aj t\u00fdm, ktor\u00fdch sa to priamo net\u00fdka, je \u00faplne jasn\u00e9, \u010do v\u00fdchodn\u00e1 Eur\u00f3pa (a najm\u00e4 jej postsovietska \u010das\u0165) v\u010faka Ukrajine nepre\u017eila: filtra\u010dn\u00e9 t\u00e1bory, \u00fanosy, deport\u00e1cie, mu\u010diarne, masov\u00e9 hroby a in\u00e9 zlo\u010diny, ktor\u00e9 sprev\u00e1dzaj\u00fa &#8222;anexiu \u00fazemia&#8220;. Neby\u0165 odporu ukrajinskej arm\u00e1dy, dnes by neexistovala len Ukrajina, ale aj Eur\u00f3pska \u00fania a NATO v jej s\u00fa\u010dasnej podobe a Z\u00e1pad by sa nemusel zaobera\u0165 t\u00fdm, ko\u013eko tankov po\u0161le na Ukrajinu, ale s Ki\u0161i\u0148ovskou \u013eudovou republikou, Narvskou \u013eudovou republikou, Bialystokovou \u013eudovou republikou&#8230;&#8220;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Kedy bude teda protiofenz\u00edva ukrajinsk\u00e1? Je ofenz\u00edva spr\u00e1vnej\u0161ia? Presn\u00e1 terminol\u00f3gia tu nie je pre n\u00e1s civilistov tak\u00e1 d\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e1. D\u00f4le\u017eit\u00e1 je samotn\u00e1 skuto\u010dnos\u0165 r\u00fdchleho odstr\u00e1nenia okup\u00e1cie. Teraz m\u00f4\u017eeme takmer ur\u010dite poveda\u0165, \u017ee &#8222;jarn\u00e1 ofenz\u00edva&#8220;, ktor\u00e1 bola tak o\u010dak\u00e1van\u00e1, bola ozn\u00e1men\u00e1 tak dlho, bola tak v\u00e1\u0161nivo diskutovan\u00e1 v Ukrajine aj v Rusku a nakoniec na celom svete, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14870,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[1190,21,2031,22,1882,12,6,192,58,14],"class_list":["post-14869","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vojna-v-ukrajine","tag-eu","tag-hlavne-spravy","tag-ljubko-petrenko","tag-ozbrojene-sily-ukrajiny","tag-petr-pavel","tag-rusko","tag-rusko-ukrajinska-vojna","tag-vladimir-putin","tag-vojenska-pomoc-ukrajine","tag-vojnove-zlociny-ruska"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14869","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14869"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14869\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14870"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14869"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14869"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14869"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}