{"id":13941,"date":"2023-04-12T09:51:03","date_gmt":"2023-04-12T07:51:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/razvedka.info\/sk\/2023-04-americke-spravodajske-sluzby-hodnotia-styri-nepravdepodobne-scenare-vojny-v-ukrajine-media\/"},"modified":"2023-04-12T09:51:03","modified_gmt":"2023-04-12T07:51:03","slug":"americke-spravodajske-sluzby-hodnotia-styri-nepravdepodobne-scenare-vojny-v-ukrajine-media","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/2023-04-americke-spravodajske-sluzby-hodnotia-styri-nepravdepodobne-scenare-vojny-v-ukrajine-media\/","title":{"rendered":"Americk\u00e9 spravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby hodnotia \u0161tyri &#8222;nepravdepodobn\u00e9&#8220; scen\u00e1re vojny v Ukrajine \u2013 m\u00e9di\u00e1"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Spravodajsk\u00e1 agent\u00fara americk\u00e9ho ministerstva obrany zva\u017eovala scen\u00e1re v\u00fdvoja vojny v Ukrajine v pr\u00edpade takzvan\u00fdch &#8222;divok\u00fdch kariet&#8220;, teda nepravdepodobn\u00fdch udalost\u00ed. O tom <a rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/04\/11\/world\/europe\/leaked-documents-russia-ukraine.html?fbclid=IwAR00PKsB-USQEaPDP9nw3ctrYHJx5Wq95FoC7UnOqLM6EHeEiAXOG4BoZ2Y\">Spr\u00e1vy <\/a> The New York Times.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00fdvoj skriptov sa stal zn\u00e1mym z takzvan\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch spravodajsk\u00fdch dokumentov z 24. febru\u00e1ra 2023, ktor\u00e9 z\u00edskal The New York Times. Anal\u00fdza, ktor\u00fa uskuto\u010dnila spravodajsk\u00e1 agent\u00fara americk\u00e9ho ministerstva obrany rok po za\u010diatku tot\u00e1lnej vojny, na\u010drt\u00e1va \u0161tyri scen\u00e1re &#8222;divok\u00fdch kariet&#8220; a to, ako by mohli ovplyvni\u0165 priebeh vojny v Ukrajine.<\/p>\n<div id=\"videoAdvWrapper1561569\"><\/div>\n<p>Publik\u00e1cia zd\u00f4raz\u0148uje, \u017ee tak\u00fdto scen\u00e1rov\u00fd dokument je pomerne typick\u00fdm produktom pre spravodajsk\u00e9 slu\u017eby. Je navrhnut\u00fd tak, aby pomohol vojensk\u00fdm d\u00f4stojn\u00edkom, politikom alebo z\u00e1konodarcom zv\u00e1\u017ei\u0165 mo\u017en\u00e9 d\u00f4sledky ve\u013ek\u00fdch udalost\u00ed pri hodnoten\u00ed ich mo\u017enost\u00ed. Hypotetick\u00e9 scen\u00e1re zah\u0155\u0148aj\u00fa smr\u0165 rusk\u00fdch prezidentov Vladimira Putina a ukrajinsk\u00e9ho prezidenta Volodymyra Zelensk\u00e9ho, zmenu vedenia rusk\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch s\u00edl a ukrajinsk\u00fd \u00fatok na Kreme\u013e. Dokument popisuje, ako by ka\u017ed\u00e1 z t\u00fdchto situ\u00e1ci\u00ed mohla potenci\u00e1lne vies\u0165 k eskal\u00e1cii v Ukrajine, ukon\u010deniu konfliktu prostredn\u00edctvom rokovan\u00ed alebo by nemala v\u00fdznamn\u00fd vplyv na priebeh vojny.<\/p>\n<p>Opisy mo\u017en\u00fdch udalost\u00ed neodhaduj\u00fa, \u010do by mohlo by\u0165 najpravdepodobnej\u0161ie, ale najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ia pozornos\u0165 sa venuje hypotetick\u00e9mu \u00fatoku na Kreme\u013e. Pod\u013ea americk\u00fdch bojovn\u00edkov by t\u00e1to udalos\u0165 mohla vies\u0165 k eskal\u00e1cii, ke\u010f Putin v reakcii na verejn\u00e9 protesty za\u010dne rozsiahlu vojensk\u00fa mobiliz\u00e1ciu a zv\u00e1\u017ei mo\u017enos\u0165 pou\u017eitia taktick\u00fdch jadrov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed. Alebo by ho obavy verejnosti mohli prin\u00fati\u0165 rokova\u0165 o urovnan\u00ed vojny.<\/p>\n<p>Bidenova administrat\u00edva je obzvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 znepokojen\u00e1 mo\u017en\u00fdm \u00fatokom na Moskvu z Ukrajiny, preto\u017ee by to mohlo vyvola\u0165 prudk\u00fa eskal\u00e1ciu z Ruska. Nebezpe\u010denstvo tak\u00e9hoto \u00faderu z Ukrajiny je jedn\u00fdm z d\u00f4vodov, pre\u010do sa Spojen\u00e9 \u0161t\u00e1ty zdr\u00e1haj\u00fa poskytn\u00fa\u0165 Kyjevu rakety dlh\u0161ieho doletu.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Spravodajsk\u00e1 agent\u00fara americk\u00e9ho ministerstva obrany zva\u017eovala scen\u00e1re v\u00fdvoja vojny v Ukrajine v pr\u00edpade takzvan\u00fdch &#8222;divok\u00fdch kariet&#8220;, teda nepravdepodobn\u00fdch udalost\u00ed. O tom Spr\u00e1vy The New York Times. V\u00fdvoj skriptov sa stal zn\u00e1mym z takzvan\u00fdch tajn\u00fdch spravodajsk\u00fdch dokumentov z 24. febru\u00e1ra 2023, ktor\u00e9 z\u00edskal The New York Times. Anal\u00fdza, ktor\u00fa uskuto\u010dnila spravodajsk\u00e1 agent\u00fara americk\u00e9ho ministerstva obrany rok [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13942,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[6,1237],"class_list":["post-13941","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vojna-v-ukrajine","tag-rusko-ukrajinska-vojna","tag-spojene-staty-americke"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13941","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13941"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13941\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13942"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13941"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13941"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13941"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}