{"id":11506,"date":"2023-02-05T08:33:02","date_gmt":"2023-02-05T07:33:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/razvedka.info\/sk\/2023-02-analytici-isw-hovorili-o-ofenzivnom-potenciali-ruskej-armady\/"},"modified":"2023-02-05T08:33:02","modified_gmt":"2023-02-05T07:33:02","slug":"analytici-isw-hovorili-o-ofenzivnom-potenciali-ruskej-armady","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/2023-02-analytici-isw-hovorili-o-ofenzivnom-potenciali-ruskej-armady\/","title":{"rendered":"Analytici ISW hovorili o ofenz\u00edvnom potenci\u00e1li ruskej arm\u00e1dy"},"content":{"rendered":"

Rusko nepreukazuje schopnos\u0165 vies\u0165 nieko\u013eko ve\u013ek\u00fdch \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch oper\u00e1ci\u00ed. Toto je uveden\u00e9 v Spr\u00e1va<\/a> ISW.<\/p>\n

ISW na\u010falej pozoruje transfer ruskej vojenskej techniky a elitn\u00fdch jednotiek, ako aj pr\u00edpravu logistiky v okupovanej Luhanskej oblasti, \u010do potvrdzuje z\u00e1padn\u00e9, ukrajinsk\u00e9 a rusk\u00e9 predpovede \u00fatoku na Bachmut.<\/p>\n

<\/div>\n

Analytici predpovedaj\u00fa, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 oper\u00e1cie pravdepodobne nebud\u00fa zameran\u00e9 na mesto Z\u00e1poro\u017eie, preto\u017ee \u00fato\u010dn\u00edci sa na\u010falej pripravuj\u00fa na ofenz\u00edvu v z\u00e1padnej Luhanskej oblasti.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e9 jednotky tie\u017e zintenz\u00edv\u0148uj\u00fa \u00fatoky na Bachmut a ignoruj\u00fa front okolo Donecka. Ukrajinsk\u00e1 arm\u00e1da uv\u00e1dza, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 jednotky nevytvorili dostato\u010dne siln\u00fa \u00fato\u010dn\u00fa skupinu na uskuto\u010dnenie ofenz\u00edvy v smere Z\u00e1poro\u017eie.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e9 zdroje tvrdia, \u017ee koncom janu\u00e1ra rusk\u00e9 jednotky z\u00edskali \u00fazemn\u00e9 zisky v regi\u00f3ne Z\u00e1poro\u017eie, \u010do pod\u013ea odhadov ISW bola s najv\u00e4\u010d\u0161ou pravdepodobnos\u0165ou informa\u010dnou oper\u00e1ciou zameranou na rozpt\u00fdlenie ukrajinsk\u00fdch s\u00edl v predve\u010der „rozhoduj\u00facej ofenz\u00edvy na v\u00fdchode krajiny“.<\/p>\n

Pod\u013ea odborn\u00edkov Rusko nepreuk\u00e1zalo schopnos\u0165 vies\u0165 nieko\u013eko ve\u013ek\u00fdch \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch oper\u00e1ci\u00ed potrebn\u00fdch na s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00e9 dosiahnutie administrat\u00edvnych hran\u00edc Doneckej oblasti a zmocnenie sa Z\u00e1poro\u017eia.<\/p>\n

Rusk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany za\u010dalo s\u00e9riu opatren\u00ed na re\u0161trukturaliz\u00e1ciu a konsolid\u00e1ciu nes\u00farod\u00fdch neregul\u00e1rnych form\u00e1ci\u00ed podporuj\u00facich rusk\u00fa vojnu v Ukrajine ako s\u00fa\u010das\u0165 rusk\u00fdch pravideln\u00fdch ozbrojen\u00fdch s\u00edl.<\/p>\n

In\u0161tit\u00fat poznamen\u00e1va, \u017ee Ministerstvo obrany Ruskej feder\u00e1cie m\u00f4\u017ee podnikn\u00fa\u0165 ur\u010dit\u00e9 kroky na integr\u00e1ciu dobrovo\u013en\u00edckych pr\u00e1porov do svojej \u0161trukt\u00fary. \u0160pekuluje sa tie\u017e, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany sa m\u00f4\u017ee pon\u00e1h\u013ea\u0165 s integr\u00e1ciou a profesionaliz\u00e1ciou nepravideln\u00fdch form\u00e1ci\u00ed do svojej pravidelnej \u0161trukt\u00fary a n\u00e1\u010deln\u00edk rusk\u00e9ho gener\u00e1lneho \u0161t\u00e1bu, arm\u00e1dny gener\u00e1l Valerij Gerasimov, sa te\u0161\u00ed priazni rusk\u00e9ho prezidenta Putina.<\/p>\n

Analytici uv\u00e1dzaj\u00fa, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 nepravideln\u00e9 form\u00e1cie v Ukrajine zah\u0155\u0148aj\u00fa zmluvn\u00fdch vojakov, mobilizovan\u00fdch vojakov, sily falo\u0161n\u00fdch Doneck\u00fdch a Luhansk\u00fdch \u013eudov\u00fdch republ\u00edk, dobrovo\u013en\u00edcke pr\u00e1pory, rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 rezervn\u00e9 sily, koz\u00e1cke a \u010de\u010densk\u00e9 oddiely, ako aj \u017eoldnierov Wagnerovej skupiny.<\/p>\n

Tieto form\u00e1cie maj\u00fa r\u00f4zne ciele, obmedzenia, predpoklady, hierarchiu a pr\u00e1vne postavenie. Po vymenovan\u00ed Gerasimova za velite\u013ea spolo\u010dnej skupiny vojsk v Ukrajine 11. janu\u00e1ra rusk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany iniciovalo s\u00e9riu profesionaliza\u010dn\u00fdch opatren\u00ed a je celkom logick\u00e9, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 ministerstvo obrany sa pod\u013ea ISW pok\u00fasi zos\u00faladi\u0165 s\u00fa\u010dasn\u00fa zmes s\u00edl do tradi\u010dnej\u0161ej \u0161trukt\u00fary.<\/p>\n

Odborn\u00edci v\u0161ak poukazuj\u00fa na to, \u017ee tieto integra\u010dn\u00e9 snahy sa zhoduj\u00fa so za\u010diatkom rozhoduj\u00facich \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch oper\u00e1ci\u00ed a pravdepodobne sp\u00f4sobia kr\u00e1tkodob\u00e9 naru\u0161enia a konfront\u00e1cie medzi jednotkami potrebn\u00fdmi na vedenie t\u00fdchto oper\u00e1ci\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Implement\u00e1cia zlo\u017eit\u00fdch \u0161truktur\u00e1lnych a administrat\u00edvnych zmien po\u010das ve\u013ek\u00fdch \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch oper\u00e1ci\u00ed je nezvy\u010dajn\u00fdm krokom, bez oh\u013eadu na to, ak\u00e9 vhodn\u00e9 m\u00f4\u017eu by\u0165. Gerasimov pravdepodobne c\u00edti, \u017ee m\u00e1 obmedzen\u00fd \u010das na vykonanie zmien v rusk\u00fdch jednotk\u00e1ch predt\u00fdm, ako nebude schopn\u00fd dosiahnu\u0165 ve\u013ek\u00e9 ciele, ktor\u00e9 mu boli stanoven\u00e9, povedie k tomu, \u017ee op\u00e4\u0165 strat\u00ed Putinovu priaze\u0148.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Rusko nepreukazuje schopnos\u0165 vies\u0165 nieko\u013eko ve\u013ek\u00fdch \u00fato\u010dn\u00fdch oper\u00e1ci\u00ed. Toto je uveden\u00e9 v Spr\u00e1va ISW. ISW na\u010falej pozoruje transfer ruskej vojenskej techniky a elitn\u00fdch jednotiek, ako aj pr\u00edpravu logistiky v okupovanej Luhanskej oblasti, \u010do potvrdzuje z\u00e1padn\u00e9, ukrajinsk\u00e9 a rusk\u00e9 predpovede \u00fatoku na Bachmut. Analytici predpovedaj\u00fa, \u017ee rusk\u00e9 \u00fato\u010dn\u00e9 oper\u00e1cie pravdepodobne nebud\u00fa zameran\u00e9 na mesto Z\u00e1poro\u017eie, preto\u017ee […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11507,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[12,6],"class_list":["post-11506","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-vojna-v-ukrajine","tag-rusko","tag-rusko-ukrajinska-vojna"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11506","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11506"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/11506\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/11507"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11506"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=11506"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ruwar.org\/sk\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=11506"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}